Naoya Honda vs Naoki Nakagawa — M15 Tokyo 4 Round of 16

M15 Tokyo 4 · ITF · Round of 16
JPN
Naoya Honda
#668ATP
1240ELO
1236Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
hard
JPN
Naoki Nakagawa
#745ATP
1289ELO
1271Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLLLW
Honda N.
6-4 2-6 1-6
Nakagawa N.
Honda N.
6211
Nakagawa N.
4662

Naoki Nakagawa defeated Naoya Honda in the Round of 16 at the M15 Tokyo 4, winning 4-6, 6-2, 6-1. Nakagawa hit 12 aces to Honda's 7 and converted 36% of break points to Honda's 25%. Nakagawa won 89% of first-serve points to Honda's 70% and broke Honda's serve 5 times to Honda's 2.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-06M25 Sapporo 1R32hardNaoki Nakagawa7-6(6) 6-4

Statistics

This season
Honda N.Nakagawa N.
1st serve in·Even
54%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
82%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
11.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Honda N.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Nakagawa N.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1236
Surface ELO
5.4+34 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1240
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1289
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 64%

Draw