Jacob Fearnley vs Mark LajalNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#107ATP
1600ELO
1546Grass ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
#159ATP
1589ELO
1546Grass ELO
$97kYTD
$654kCAREER
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Fearnley J.
7-5 3-6 6-1
Lajal M.
Fearnley J.
7362
Lajal M.
5611

Jacob Fearnley defeated Mark Lajal in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 3-6, 6-1 in favor of Fearnley. Key stats included Fearnley converting 60% of his break points and securing 6 service breaks, compared to Lajal's 29% break point conversion and 4 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Jacob Fearnley came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
70%
Aces / match·Even
5.9
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
43
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
89
Break points won·Dominant
70
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
42
Tiebreaks·Even
83
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Fearnley J.47%
Lajal M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0+0 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Grass Elo 1546
5.1Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1588
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
5.66 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
78
79

Fearnley J.: played today · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Lajal M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw