Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Kaitlin QuevedoBastad Quarter-final

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#233WTA
1373ELO
1358Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
#110WTA
1757ELO
1714Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-4 4-6 4-6
Quevedo K.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6441
Quevedo K.
4662

Kaitlin Quevedo advanced to the semifinals of the Bastad tournament, defeating Irene Burillo Escorihuela in a three-set match. Quevedo won 4-6, 6-4, 6-4.

Around the match

  • Staged comeback from a set down in all-Spanish quarter-final against Lázaro García to secure semi-final spot with emotional victory.

    Quevedo K.nordeaopen.se· 2026-07-09
  • Quevedo mounted a dramatic comeback from 0–1 down in sets to defeat fellow Spaniard Lázaro García and reach the semifinals.

    Quevedo K.nordeaopen.se· 2026-07-09

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-16W100 Madrid 1R32clayIrene Burillo Escorihuela6-1 2-6 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
53%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
46%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
39
54
Break points saved·Dominant
5
30
Break points won·Slight edge
85
77
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
97
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Burillo Escorihuela I.27%
Quevedo K.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Quevedo K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
0.5Clay Elo 1358
Surface ELO
9.5+356 Clay Elo edge
0.2Overall Elo 1373
ELO gap
9.8Overall Elo 1757
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.63 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Quevedo K.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw