Titouan Droguet vs Luka PavlovicIasi Round of 16

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#111ATP
1717ELO
1681Clay ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#207ATP
1510ELO
1467Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Droguet T.
6-3 7-6
Pavlovic L.
Droguet T.
672
Pavlovic L.
360

Titouan Droguet advanced to the quarterfinals of the Iasi tournament with a 6-3, 7-6 win over Luka Pavlovic in the Round of 16. Droguet hit 5 aces to Pavlovic's 3 and converted 60% of his break points, while Pavlovic converted 40%. Droguet won 3 service breaks to Pavlovic's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
47%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
10.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
64
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
93
Break points won·Slight edge
17
24
Deciding sets·Clear edge
93
71
Tiebreaks·Even
87
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Droguet T.87%
Pavlovic L.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Droguet T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+214 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Clay Elo 1467
7.6Overall Elo 1717
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1510
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
88

Droguet T.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw