Andrea Guerrieri vs Hugo DellienTrieste Round of 16

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#189ATP
1545ELO
1510Clay ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 4th on
#141ATP
1637ELO
1624Clay ELO
$236kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWW
Guerrieri A.
1-6 2-6
Dellien H.
Guerrieri A.
120
Dellien H.
662

Hugo Dellien defeated Andrea Guerrieri in the Round of 16 at the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 6-1, 6-2. Dellien hit 4 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Guerrieri had 1 ace and 1 double fault. Dellien converted 83% of his break points and broke Guerrieri's serve 5 times, compared to Guerrieri's 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
21
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
69
Break points won·Dominant
40
7
Deciding sets·Clear edge
84
66
Tiebreaks·
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Guerrieri A.35%
Dellien H.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dellien H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Clay Elo 1510
Surface ELO
6.4+114 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1637
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
61
97

Guerrieri A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Dellien H.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw