Federico Coria vs Guy Den OudenLiege Round of 16

Liege · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#839ATP
1537ELO
1515Clay ELO
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRE COURT · 2nd on
#215ATP
1495ELO
1484Clay ELO
$84kYTD
$332kCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
Coria F.
6-2 2-6 3-6
Den Ouden G.
Coria F.
6231
Den Ouden G.
2662

Guy Den Ouden advanced to the quarterfinals at the Liege tournament, defeating Federico Coria in the Round of 16. Den Ouden won the match in three sets, 2-6, 6-2, 6-3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
33%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
60%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
50
26
Break points saved·Dominant
33
72
Break points won·Dominant
76
36
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
19
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Coria F.49%
Den Ouden G.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+31 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1484
5.5Overall Elo 1537
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1495
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Den Ouden G.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw