Liam Broady vs Andre IlaganNewport Round of 16

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#201ATP
1590ELO
1504Grass ELO
$89kYTD
$2.2MCAREER
32 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
grass
#210ATP
1543ELO
1472Grass ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Broady L.
6-3 7-6
Ilagan A.
Broady L.
672
Ilagan A.
360

Liam Broady defeated Andre Ilagan 6-3, 7-6 in the Round of 16 at the Newport grass tournament. Broady hit 5 aces and 2 double faults, winning 75% of his first serves and converting 36% of break points. Ilagan recorded 2 aces and 0 double faults, winning 58% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points; he secured 2 service breaks to Broady's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: Liam Broady closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-27M25 Faro 1R16hardLiam Broady6-3 1-6 7-6(5)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
4.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
40
37
Break points saved·Even
74
76
Break points won·Even
17
17
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
46
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Broady L.76%
Ilagan A.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Broady L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+32 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Grass Elo 1472
5.6Overall Elo 1590
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1543
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
4.14 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
68

Broady L.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ilagan A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw