Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Alex BarrenaTrieste Round of 16

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#217ATP
1563ELO
1532Clay ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 3rd on
#259ATP
1375ELO
1347Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$266kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLL
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
6-4 6-3
Barrena A.
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
662
Barrena A.
430

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo defeated Alex Barrena 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Trieste tournament on clay. Sanchez Izquierdo and Barrena were even in aces, 2-2, and double faults, 2-0 in favor of Barrena. Sanchez Izquierdo won the match converting 42% of break points and securing 5 service breaks to Barrena's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
Return points won·Even
42%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
19
30
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
43
Break points won·Dominant
29
54
Deciding sets·Dominant
69
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Sanchez Izquierdo N.83%
Barrena A.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sanchez Izquierdo N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+186 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1347
7.3Overall Elo 1563
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1375
4.3Trails 1–2 on clay
H2H
5.7Leads 2–1 on clay
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
82

Sanchez Izquierdo N.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Barrena A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw