Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel AmbrogiBogota Round of 16

Bogota · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#340ATP
1393ELO
1381Clay ELO
32 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 3rd on
#319ATP
1392ELO
1382Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLLW
Casanova H.
7-6 6-2
Emanuel Ambrogi L.
Casanova H.
762
Emanuel Ambrogi L.
620

Hernan Casanova defeated Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 7-6, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Bogota clay court tournament. Casanova converted all three of his break points, while Ambrogi converted one of three. Casanova won 72% of his first-serve points, compared to 48% for Ambrogi.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-18M25 Koksijde 1QFclayLuciano Emanuel Ambrogi5-7 2-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
77%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.6
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
0.7
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
8
2
Break points saved·Even
24
27
Break points won·Clear edge
22
45
Deciding sets·Clear edge
32
10
Tiebreaks·Dominant
34
6

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Casanova H.48%
Emanuel Ambrogi L.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1381
Surface ELO
5.0+1 Clay Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1393
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1392
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.48 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
74

Casanova H.: 15 days rest · Emanuel Ambrogi L.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw