Vilius Gaubas vs Facundo Diaz AcostaBraunschweig Round of 16

Braunschweig · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#123ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$279kYTD
$763kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 9 July 2026 ·
clay
TENZER CENTER COURT · 1st on
#87ATP
1681ELO
1668Clay ELO
$294kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLLW
Gaubas V.
4-6 2-6
Diaz Acosta F.
Gaubas V.
420
Diaz Acosta F.
662

Facundo Diaz Acosta defeated Vilius Gaubas 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the Braunschweig clay tournament. Diaz Acosta hit one ace and no double faults, while Gaubas had no aces and one double fault. Diaz Acosta won 69% of his first-serve points, converted 57% of break points, and broke Gaubas' serve four times en route to victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
57
5
Break points saved·Clear edge
87
72
Break points won·Dominant
52
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
86
4
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
8
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Gaubas V.24%
Diaz Acosta F.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Diaz Acosta F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1535
Surface ELO
6.7+134 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1680
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.29 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Gaubas V.: 15 days rest · Diaz Acosta F.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw