Bernard Tomic vs Braden ShickNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#164ATP
1475ELO
1497Grass ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#219ATP
1385ELO
1392Grass ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Tomic B.
6-2 6-3
Shick B.
Tomic B.
662
Shick B.
230

Bernard Tomic defeated Braden Shick in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament, winning 6-2, 6-3. Tomic converted 40% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while Shick was unable to capitalize on any of his break point opportunities. Tomic also had more efficient service, winning 88% of his first-serve points compared to Shick's 71%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
66%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tomic B.84%
Shick B.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tomic B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Grass Elo 1392
6.1Overall Elo 1474
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1384
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
100

Tomic B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Shick B.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw