Katrina Scott vs Mary Stoiana — Newport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Katrina Scott
USA
Katrina Scott
#242WTA
1502ELO
1373Grass ELO
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
USA4
Mary Stoiana
#130WTA
1656ELO
1598Grass ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Scott K.
2-6 2-6
Stoiana M.
Scott K.
220
Stoiana M.
662

Mary Stoiana defeated Katrina Scott in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament, winning in straight sets 6-2, 6-2. Stoiana converted all five of her break points, compared to Scott's one conversion on two chances. Stoiana also had a higher first-serve win percentage, 70 to 47.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Scott K.Stoiana M.
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.0
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 47). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Scott K.13%
Stoiana M.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Stoiana M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Scott K.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Stoiana M.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.2Grass Elo 1373
Surface ELO
7.8+225 Grass Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1502
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1656
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Scott K.Stoiana M.
Freshness·
—
80

Stoiana M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw