Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Kaitlin QuevedoBastad Round of 16

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#228WTA
1543ELO
1513Clay ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
#110WTA
1757ELO
1714Clay ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Rinaldo Persson K.
6-7 6-3 3-6
Quevedo K.
Rinaldo Persson K.
6631
Quevedo K.
7362

Kaitlin Quevedo defeated Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at Bastad. Quevedo hit 5 aces and 4 double faults, winning 66% of her first serves and converting 33% of break points. The match saw 5 service breaks for each player.

Key context

  • Match story: Kaitlin Quevedo closed it out in three sets, 7–6 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Rinaldo Persson K.24%
Quevedo K.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Quevedo K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1511
Surface ELO
7.1+172 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1542
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1732
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Quevedo K.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw