Henri Squire vs Francesco PassaroTrieste Round of 16

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#208ATP
1511ELO
1490Clay ELO
25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#222ATP
1592ELO
1578Clay ELO
$91kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Squire H.
5-7 6-4 7-5
Passaro F.
Squire H.
5672
Passaro F.
7451

Henri Squire defeated Francesco Passaro in the Round of 16 at the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 5-7, 6-4, 7-5. Squire and Passaro were even in aces, 6-6, but Squire committed more double faults, 7-1. Squire converted 33% of break points while Passaro converted 67%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.2
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
40
57
Break points saved·Even
87
89
Break points won·Even
12
11
Deciding sets·Clear edge
65
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Squire H.24%
Passaro F.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Passaro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1490
Surface ELO
6.1+88 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1592
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
80

Squire H.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Passaro F.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw