Daniel Milavsky vs Kaichi UchidaNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#310ATP
1349ELO
1355Grass ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#261ATP
1355ELO
1390Grass ELO
31 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLLL
Milavsky D.
6-4 6-3
Uchida K.
Milavsky D.
662
Uchida K.
430

Daniel Milavsky defeated Kaichi Uchida 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament. Milavsky hit 5 aces and 6 double faults, winning 75% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points. He broke Uchida's serve 4 times, compared to Uchida's 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
32%
Break points saved·Clear edge
76%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.3
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Milavsky D.38%
Uchida K.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Uchida K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1355
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Grass Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1348
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1355
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.43 of last 9 on grass
Win streak
0.0Lost last 10
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
67

Milavsky D.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw