Hayato Matsuoka vs Alex Michelsen — Newport Round of 32
JPNLL
USA2
Matsuoka H.
Alex Michelsen defeated Hayato Matsuoka in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament, winning 6-1, 6-4. Michelsen hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while Matsuoka had 1 ace and 3 double faults. Michelsen converted 57% of break points and won 67% of first-serve points, securing 4 service breaks to Matsuoka's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Alex Michelsen dropped just 5 games past Hayato Matsuoka.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Michelsen A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMatsuoka H.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Michelsen A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About