Varvara Lepchenko vs Tamara KorpatschBastad Round of 16

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#184WTA
1578ELO
1533Clay ELO
40 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
#47WTA
1668ELO
1655Clay ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
Lepchenko V.
6-1 6-2
Korpatsch T.
Lepchenko V.
662
Korpatsch T.
120

Varvara Lepchenko defeated Tamara Korpatsch 6-1, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at Bastad. Lepchenko did not hit an ace but did not commit a double fault, while Korpatsch had one ace and three double faults. Lepchenko converted 50% of her break points and won five service breaks to Korpatsch's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
47%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
43%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
15
30
Break points saved·Clear edge
17
2
Break points won·Clear edge
56
79
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
66
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Lepchenko V.36%
Korpatsch T.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Korpatsch T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1543
Surface ELO
6.5+116 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1587
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1676
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
82

Lepchenko V.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Korpatsch T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 26 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw