Pedro Martinez vs Maks Kasnikowski — Iasi Round of 16

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Pedro Martinez
ESP5
Pedro Martinez
#151ATP
1580ELO
1550Clay ELO
$338kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
POLALT
Maks Kasnikowski
#234ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLW
Martinez P.
6-4 3-6 5-7
Kasnikowski M.
Martinez P.
6351
Kasnikowski M.
4672

Maks Kasnikowski defeated Pedro Martinez 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the Iasi clay court tournament. Kasnikowski hit 6 aces to Martinez's 1 and won 70% of his first serves, compared to 58% for Martinez. Kasnikowski converted 33% of break points and won 4 service breaks to Martinez's 3.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardPedro Martinez6-7 6-1 6-2 3-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
Martinez P.Kasnikowski M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Martinez P.Kasnikowski M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
14
Break points saved·Dominant
84
56
Break points won·Clear edge
36
16
Deciding sets·Dominant
72
19
Tiebreaks·Even
42
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Martinez P.65%
Kasnikowski M.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Martinez P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Martinez P.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Kasnikowski M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+124 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1416
7.1Overall Elo 1566
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1399
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Martinez P.Kasnikowski M.
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Martinez P.: 21 days rest · Kasnikowski M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw