August Holmgren vs Tristan SchoolkateNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#226ATP
1566ELO
1594Grass ELO
$132kYTD
$648kCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#188ATP
1549ELO
1533Grass ELO
$250kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLW
Holmgren A.
3-6 7-6 3-6
Schoolkate T.
Holmgren A.
3731
Schoolkate T.
6662

Tristan Schoolkate defeated August Holmgren in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 in favor of Schoolkate. Schoolkate converted 3 service breaks to Holmgren's 1, and had a first-serve win percentage of 80% compared to Holmgren's 75%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.0
7.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.5
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
43
46
Break points saved·Even
90
90
Break points won·Even
0
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
46
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Holmgren A.56%
Schoolkate T.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1533
5.2Overall Elo 1566
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.14 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
48

Holmgren A.: 21 days rest · Schoolkate T.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 136 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw