Taylor Fritz vs Alexander ZverevWimbledon Quarter-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Quarter-final
#9ATP
1909ELO
1857Grass ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWWWW
0 — 3
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
No.1 Court · 2nd on
#3ATP
2100ELO
1914Grass ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWWL
Fritz T.
4-6 4-6 2-6
Zverev A.
Fritz T.
4420
Zverev A.
6663

Alexander Zverev advanced to the semifinals of Wimbledon by defeating Taylor Fritz in the quarterfinals. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-4, 6-2 in favor of Zverev. He converted 67% of his break points and secured four service breaks, compared to none for Fritz, while both players had identical first-serve win percentages and double fault counts.

Key context

Head to head

105
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-20HalleSFgrassTaylor Fritz7-6 4-6 5-7
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6
2025-06-09StuttgartFgrassTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6
2024-11-11Tour FinalsSFhardTaylor Fritz6-3 3-6 7-6
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-4 7-5
2024-08-26US OpenQFhardTaylor Fritz7-6 3-6 6-4 7-6
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassTaylor Fritz4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 6-3
2024-05-06Rome MastersQFclayAlexander Zverev6-4 6-3
2023-01-02United CupRRhardTaylor Fritz6-1 6-4
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2021-10-04Indian Wells MastersQFhardTaylor Fritz4-6 6-3 7-6
2021-06-28WimbledonR32grassAlexander Zverev6-7 6-4 6-3 7-6
2019-10-21BaselR32hardTaylor Fritz7-6 6-4
2018-07-02WimbledonR64grassAlexander Zverev6-4 5-7 6-7 6-1 6-2
2016-07-18WashingtonR32hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
80%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
58%
Service points won·Even
72%
72%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
15.9
10.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 49). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
93
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
36
89
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Fritz T.26%
Zverev A.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Zverev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1857
Surface ELO
5.7+57 Grass Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1909
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 2100
8.2Leads 3–0 on grass
H2H
1.8Trails 0–3 on grass
8.48 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
6.8Won 79% in United Kingdom (53)
Country comfort
6.1Won 69% in United Kingdom (29)
Context
8.5Reached the semis here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
88
66

Fritz T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw