Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo FicovichNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#185ATP
1593ELO
1538Grass ELO
$177kYTD
$837kCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#350ATP
1415ELO
1397Grass ELO
$100kYTD
$984kCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
Galarneau A.
4-6 6-4 7-6
Ficovich J.
Galarneau A.
4672
Ficovich J.
6461

Alexis Galarneau defeated Juan Pablo Ficovich in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament. The match went the full three sets, with Galarneau ultimately prevailing 4-6, 6-4, 7-6. Both players converted 57% of break points and secured four service breaks apiece.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
28
16
Break points saved·Even
79
76
Break points won·Slight edge
16
9
Deciding sets·Slight edge
22
27
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Galarneau A.79%
Ficovich J.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Galarneau A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+141 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Grass Elo 1397
7.2Overall Elo 1593
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1415
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on grass
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
90

Galarneau A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Ficovich J.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw