Michele Ribecai vs Matej DodigTrieste Round of 16

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#260ATP
1373ELO
1359Clay ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#251ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Ribecai M.
6-4 5-7 4-6
Dodig M.
Ribecai M.
6541
Dodig M.
4762

Matej Dodig defeated Michele Ribecai in the Round of 16 at the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 4-6, 7-5, 6-4. Dodig hit 17 aces to Ribecai's 2 and had a first-serve win percentage of 72 compared to Ribecai's 59. Both players converted 3 service breaks, but Dodig had a lower break point conversion percentage of 21 to Ribecai's 43.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Ribecai M.47%
Dodig M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Clay Elo 1410
Surface ELO
5.2+19 Clay Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1422
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1456
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
81

Ribecai M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Dodig M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw