Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca CurmiContrexeville Round of 16

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#169WTA
1773ELO
1714Clay ELO
27 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
#236WTA
1580ELO
1567Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Masarova R.
4-6 4-6
Curmi F.
Masarova R.
440
Curmi F.
662

Francesca Curmi defeated Rebeka Masarova 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at Contrexeville. Curmi won despite being broken zero times and converting 50% of her break points, while Masarova had four aces and seven double faults. Curmi had 70% first-serve win percentage, compared to Masarova's 83%.

Key context

  • Match story: Francesca Curmi edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
63%
78%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
71%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
0.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Masarova R.88%
Curmi F.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Masarova R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.1+170 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1567
7.6Overall Elo 1789
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1579
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.87 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw