Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery — Wimbledon Quarter-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Quarter-final
Flavio Cobolli
ITA9
Flavio Cobolli
#10ATP
1896ELO
1742Grass ELO
$3.2MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWWWL
0 — 3
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 2nd on
GBR
Arthur Fery
#37ATP
1721ELO
1593Grass ELO
$344kYTD
$884kCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
Cobolli F.
4-6 6-7 0-6
Fery A.
Cobolli F.
4600
Fery A.
6763

Arthur Fery defeated Flavio Cobolli in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 6-4, 7-6, 6-0. Fery hit 8 aces and committed 1 double fault, while converting 56% of break points and securing 5 service breaks. Cobolli recorded 6 aces and 2 double faults, converting 25% of break points and securing 1 service break.

Around the match

  • “I haven't thought about it, it's the first time you're telling me all this. Every match it gets better, the ranking points, the prize money, I haven't really thought about it. I'm just treating them as tennis matches and just putting my best foot forward every time.”

    Fery A.Nine.com.au ↗

  • “The Queen, she was waiting for me at the end of the match. She congratulated me. I told her how much of an honour it was for me to play in front of her. She just said, 'Congratulations, keep going'.”

    Fery A.Nine.com.au ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardArthur Fery7-6 6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
Cobolli F.Fery A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
3.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cobolli F.Fery A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
85
Break points won·Slight edge
38
33
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
46

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Cobolli F.81%
Fery A.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Cobolli F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cobolli F.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Fery A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.9+150 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.1Grass Elo 1592
7.2Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1721
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
8.28 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.3Won 55% in United Kingdom (20)
Context
7.0Reached the quarters here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cobolli F.Fery A.
Freshness·Slight edge
67
73

Cobolli F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Fery A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw