Jan Choinski vs Max Hans RehbergBraunschweig Round of 16

Braunschweig · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#77ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$265kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
TENZER CENTER COURT · 4th on
#342ATP
1474ELO
1398Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
Choinski J.
2-6 7-5 6-4
Hans Rehberg M.
Choinski J.
2762
Hans Rehberg M.
6541

Jan Choinski defeated Max Hans Rehberg in the Round of 16 at the Braunschweig clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 7-5, 6-4 in favor of Choinski. Choinski and Rehberg hit an equal number of aces, five each, while Choinski committed two double faults to Rehberg's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
3.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
32
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
82
Break points won·Clear edge
20
41
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
18
Tiebreaks·Even
41
40

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Choinski J.66%
Hans Rehberg M.34%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Choinski J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.2+254 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.8Clay Elo 1398
7.7Overall Elo 1686
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1474
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
6.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
81

Choinski J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d) · Hans Rehberg M.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw