Katherine Sebov vs Cadence BraceNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#213WTA
1407ELO
1364Grass ELO
27 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#253WTA
1506ELO
1428Grass ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Sebov K.
6-2 6-2
Brace C.
Sebov K.
662
Brace C.
220

Katherine Sebov defeated Cadence Brace 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament. Sebov converted 56% of her break points and won five service breaks to Brace's two. Sebov had three double faults and no aces, while Brace had one double fault and no aces.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-10W100 Edmond 1QFhardCadence Brace6-2 6-4
2025-06-07W75 Sumter 1SFhardCadence Brace7-5 6-7(5) 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
52%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Sebov K.30%
Brace C.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Brace C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
4.2Grass Elo 1364
Surface ELO
5.8+64 Grass Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1407
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1506
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.03 of last 6 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Sebov K.: 16 days rest · Brace C.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw