Anna Blinkova vs Maria Lourdes Carle — Contrexeville Round of 16

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Anna Blinkova
RUS6
Anna Blinkova
#111WTA
1694ELO
1602Clay ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#222WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Blinkova A.
6-4 7-6
Lourdes Carle M.
Blinkova A.
672
Lourdes Carle M.
460

Anna Blinkova advanced to the quarterfinals at Contrexeville, defeating Maria Lourdes Carle in the Round of 16. Blinkova won in straight sets, 6-4, 7-6. She served one ace and committed four double faults, while Carle had no aces and seven double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Blinkova A.Lourdes Carle M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Even
52%
52%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Even
52%
51%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Blinkova A.Lourdes Carle M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
36
27
Break points saved·Clear edge
11
26
Break points won·Slight edge
87
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
30
56
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Blinkova A.86%
Lourdes Carle M.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Blinkova A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Blinkova A.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Lourdes Carle M.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+175 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1428
8.1Overall Elo 1697
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1450
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Blinkova A.Lourdes Carle M.
Freshness·
68
—

Blinkova A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw