Murphy Cassone vs Darwin BlanchNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#291ATP
1429ELO
1402Grass ELO
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#224ATP
1551ELO
1458Grass ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWL
Cassone M.
4-6 6-1 3-6
Blanch D.
Cassone M.
4631
Blanch D.
6162

Darwin Blanch defeated Murphy Cassone 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass-court tournament. The match saw Blanch hit 10 aces to Cassone's 2, and both players converted 2 of their service breaks. Blanch won 74% of his first-serve points to Cassone's 68%, and both players had 3 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Darwin Blanch closed it out in three sets, 6–4 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
64%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
6.0
5.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Cassone M.20%
Blanch D.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Blanch D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Grass Elo 1402
Surface ELO
5.7+56 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1551
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
3.24 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
3.82 of last 5 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
95

Cassone M.: 21 days rest · Blanch D.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw