Katie Volynets vs Ariana ArseneaultNewport Round of 32

Newport · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#89WTA
1786ELO
1648Grass ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
grass
#381WTA
1273ELO
1311Grass ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWWL
Volynets K.
3-6 6-1 6-1
Arseneault A.
Volynets K.
3662
Arseneault A.
6111

Katie Volynets defeated Ariana Arseneault in the Round of 32 at the Newport grass tournament. Volynets won the match 3-6, 6-1, 6-1. Volynets converted 67% of her break points and secured 6 service breaks to Arseneault's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
76%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
53%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Volynets K.86%
Arseneault A.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Volynets K. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
9.2+337 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Grass Elo 1311
10.0Overall Elo 1786
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1273
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Volynets K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Arseneault A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw