Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Eduardo RibeiroBogota Round of 16

Bogota · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#281ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 8 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 1 · 1st on
#378ATP
1356ELO
1343Clay ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-1 6-4
Ribeiro E.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
662
Ribeiro E.
140

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Eduardo Ribeiro 6-1, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Bogota clay court tournament. Pucinelli De Almeida hit 2 aces and 0 double faults, while Ribeiro had 4 aces and 5 double faults. Pucinelli De Almeida won 86% of his first-serve points, converted 50% of break points, and broke Ribeiro's serve 3 times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
41%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
0.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
5
8
Break points saved·Dominant
36
64
Break points won·Dominant
43
13
Deciding sets·Slight edge
11
17
Tiebreaks·Even
1
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pucinelli De Almeida M.56%
Ribeiro E.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1343
5.7Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1356
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
9.29 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.06 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
77

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Ribeiro E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw