Quinn Vandecasteele vs James Trotter — Newport Qualifying Semi-final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
USAALT
Quinn Vandecasteele
#483ATP
1383ELO
1352Grass ELO
23 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
JPN
James Trotter
#437ATP
1414ELO
1385Grass ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Vandecasteele Q.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Trotter J.
Vandecasteele Q.
6762
Trotter J.
7631

Quinn Vandecasteele defeated James Trotter in the semifinals of the Newport grass-court tournament. Vandecasteele won 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, overcoming a set deficit to prevail. In the match, Vandecasteele hit 12 aces to Trotter's 3 and converted 60% of break points to Trotter's 25%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Vandecasteele Q.Trotter J.
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.4
9.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 21:50 UTC
Vandecasteele Q.41%
Trotter J.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Trotter J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vandecasteele Q.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Trotter J.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1351
Surface ELO
5.4+34 Grass Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1414
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.44 of last 7 on grass
Surface form
5.55 of last 10 on grass
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Hard → Grass
Surface transition
7.0Hard → Grass
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Vandecasteele Q.Trotter J.
Freshness·
84
—

Vandecasteele Q.: 7 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw