Jannik Sinner vs Jan Lennard Struff — Wimbledon Quarter-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Quarter-final
Jannik Sinner
ITA1
Jannik Sinner
#1ATP
2320ELO
2088Grass ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
3 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
No.1 Court · 1st on
Jan Lennard Struff
GER
Jan Lennard Struff
#43ATP
1694ELO
1623Grass ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Sinner J.
7-5 7-6 6-3
Lennard Struff J.
Sinner J.
7763
Lennard Struff J.
5630

Jannik Sinner defeated Jan Lennard Struff in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon, winning in straight sets 7-5, 7-6, 6-3. Sinner served 16 aces to Struff's 12 and converted 30% of break points, while Struff converted 50%. Sinner won 83% of first-serve points to Struff's 79%, and Sinner earned three service breaks to Struff's one.

Around the match

  • “A good step forward. I felt comfortable. If it would happen again like in Paris, I hope not, but if it happens again, we need to change things again.”

    Sinner J.tennismajors.com ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in three sets, 7–5 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

3–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-17HalleQFgrassJannik Sinner6-2 6-7 7-6
2024-04-08Monte Carlo MastersR16clayJannik Sinner6-4 6-2
2024-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardJannik Sinner6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

This season
Sinner J.Lennard Struff J.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
81%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
71%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.4
11.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Sinner J.Lennard Struff J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
99
51
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
99
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Sinner J.96%
Lennard Struff J.4%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sinner J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sinner J.
8.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Lennard Struff J.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+465 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1623
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1692
7.0Leads 1–0 on grass
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on grass
10.010 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.8Won 81% in United Kingdom (31)
Country comfort
5.2Won 54% in United Kingdom (24)
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Sinner J.Lennard Struff J.
Freshness·
—
83

Lennard Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw