Tomas Barrios Vera vs Ilia Simakin — Iasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Tomas Barrios Vera
CHI6
Tomas Barrios Vera
#147ATP
1615ELO
1589Clay ELO
$207kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
28 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 6 · 1st on
RUSALT
Ilia Simakin
#267ATP
1463ELO
1282Clay ELO
22 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWL
Barrios Vera T.
6-4 5-7 6-7
Simakin I.
Barrios Vera T.
6561
Simakin I.
4772

Ilia Simakin defeated Tomas Barrios Vera in the Round of 32 of the Iasi tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 in favor of Simakin. Both players converted 5 service breaks, with Simakin having 4 aces and 3 double faults compared to Barrios Vera's 3 aces and 2 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Barrios Vera T.Simakin I.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
61%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
6.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Barrios Vera T.Simakin I.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
58
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
87
Break points won·Clear edge
10
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
5
79
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
89
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Barrios Vera T.86%
Simakin I.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Barrios Vera T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Barrios Vera T.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Simakin I.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+273 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1322
6.5Overall Elo 1620
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1503
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.16 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.62 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Barrios Vera T.Simakin I.
Freshness·Clear edge
100
87

Barrios Vera T.: 18 days rest · Simakin I.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw