Lukas Neumayer vs Andrej NedicTrieste Round of 32

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#171ATP
1621ELO
1598Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$576kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 4 · 1st on
#250ATP
1515ELO
1506Clay ELO
21 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWL
Neumayer L.
6-4 6-3
Nedic A.
Neumayer L.
662
Nedic A.
430

Lukas Neumayer defeated Andrej Nedic in the Round of 32 of the Trieste tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-3. Neumayer hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, while Nedic had 2 aces and 0 double faults. Neumayer converted 44% of his break points and broke Nedic's serve 4 times, compared to Nedic's 2 service breaks and 40% break point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Neumayer L.67%
Nedic A.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Neumayer L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1483
6.5Overall Elo 1608
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1492
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.18 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
87

Neumayer L.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d) · Nedic A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw