Jason Jung vs Hiroki Moriya — Newport Qualifying Final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
Jason Jung
TPE
Jason Jung
#908ATP
1420ELO
1417Grass ELO
37 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
Hiroki Moriya
JPN
Hiroki Moriya
#517ATP
1353ELO
1354Grass ELO
35 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLL
Jung J.
7-6 7-6
Moriya H.
Jung J.
772
Moriya H.
660

Jason Jung won the Newport final, defeating Hiroki Moriya 7-6, 7-6. Both players hit 7 and 6 aces, respectively, and committed 3 double faults each. They also each converted 50 and 100 percent of break points, respectively, and had 3 service breaks apiece.

Key context

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-03M25 Jakarta 4SFhardJason Jung6-1 2-6 6-4
2019-01-14Australian OpenQ2hardHiroki Moriya6-2 6-3
2019-01-10Australian OpenQ64hardHiroki Moriya6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
Jung J.Moriya H.
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
39%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
61%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
40%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.3
2.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jung J.Moriya H.
Clutch Rating·Even
0
0
Break points saved·Slight edge
47
38
Break points won·Clear edge
14
30
Deciding sets·Even
14
18
Tiebreaks·Even
22
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Jung J.62%
Moriya H.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Jung J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jung J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Moriya H.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Grass Elo 1354
5.8Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1353
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.05 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on grass
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jung J.Moriya H.
Freshness·
—
100

Moriya H.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 90%

Draw