Stefan Kozlov vs Garrett Johns — Newport Qualifying Final

Newport · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
Stefan Kozlov
USA5
Stefan Kozlov
#296ATP
1429ELO
1414Grass ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
Garrett Johns
USA12
Garrett Johns
#390ATP
1336ELO
1368Grass ELO
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWW
Kozlov S.
6-4 6-2
Johns G.
Kozlov S.
662
Johns G.
420

Stefan Kozlov won the Newport grass-court final, defeating Garrett Johns 6-4, 6-2. Kozlov served 4 aces to Johns' 2 and had a 75% first-serve win percentage, compared to Johns' 59%. Kozlov converted 50% of his break points and won 5 service breaks to Johns' 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kozlov S.Johns G.
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
53%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kozlov S.Johns G.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
11
36
Break points saved·Dominant
29
66
Break points won·Dominant
35
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
54
90
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
7
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Kozlov S.72%
Johns G.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kozlov S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kozlov S.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Johns G.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.6+46 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Grass Elo 1368
6.2Overall Elo 1429
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1336
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
5.45 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kozlov S.Johns G.
Freshness·Clear edge
83
60

Kozlov S.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Johns G.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 20 km/hHumidity 93%

Draw