Norbert Gombos vs Sebastian Ofner — Braunschweig Round of 32

Braunschweig · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Norbert Gombos
SVKQ
Norbert Gombos
#424ATP
1472ELO
1455Clay ELO
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
CLAMEX COURT · 1st on
Sebastian Ofner
AUT5
Sebastian Ofner
#127ATP
1713ELO
1680Clay ELO
$349kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLW
Gombos N.
3-6 3-6
Ofner S.
Gombos N.
330
Ofner S.
662

Sebastian Ofner defeated Norbert Gombos 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 32 of the Braunschweig clay tournament. Ofner hit 8 aces and 2 double faults, winning 79% of his first serves and converting all 3 of his break points. Gombos converted none of his break points and was broken 3 times.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Gombos N.Ofner S.
1st serve in·Even
60%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gombos N.Ofner S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
16
66
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
88
Break points won·Dominant
4
46
Deciding sets·Dominant
50
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
10
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Gombos N.11%
Ofner S.89%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ofner S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gombos N.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ofner S.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.2Clay Elo 1455
Surface ELO
7.8+225 Clay Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1472
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1713
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gombos N.Ofner S.
Freshness·Dominant
52
82

Gombos N.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 96 games (7d) · Ofner S.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw