

Coco Gauff advanced to the semifinals of Wimbledon by defeating Jessica Pegula in the quarterfinals. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Gauff. Gauff converted all her break points and won five service breaks to Pegula's three.
“Playing someone like Bencic on grass is not sometimes the best matchup for me. Super flat hitter. The grass just enhances it more. I think it definitely gives me confidence knowing I can.”
“Before the match, they told both of us at 11:00, da-da-da, the whole spiel. Then we started the third set at 10:05. I did not want to come out here tomorrow. I was just trying to get up a break and stay up a break.”
“She stepped up on pressure points really well. When she needed to lock in and just not miss a ball, that's what she did. But that's vintage Coco.”
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-3 6-7 6-2 |
| 2025-10-06 | Wuhan | F | hard | Coco Gauff | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2024-11-04 | Riyadh Finals | RR | hard | Coco Gauff | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-06-17 | Berlin | SF | grass | Jessica Pegula | 7-5 7-6 |
| 2023-11-04 | WTA Finals | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2023-10-30 | Cancun Finals | SF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2023-08-07 | Montreal | QF | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 5-7 7-5 |
| 2023-06-26 | Eastbourne | QF | grass | Coco Gauff | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2022-02-14 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clear favourite · Pegula J. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the grass field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About