Jan Choinski vs Dimitar Kuzmanov — Braunschweig Round of 32

Braunschweig · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Jan Choinski
GBR4
Jan Choinski
#77ATP
1686ELO
1652Clay ELO
$265kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
CLAMEX COURT · 2nd on
Dimitar Kuzmanov
BULQ
Dimitar Kuzmanov
#387ATP
1431ELO
1394Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
Choinski J.
6-4 6-4
Kuzmanov D.
Choinski J.
662
Kuzmanov D.
440

Jan Choinski defeated Dimitar Kuzmanov in the Round of 32 of the Braunschweig clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-4 in favor of Choinski. Choinski hit 4 aces and converted 4 service breaks, while Kuzmanov had 1 ace and 2 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Jan Choinski edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Choinski J.Kuzmanov D.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
71%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Choinski J.Kuzmanov D.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
55
16
Break points saved·Dominant
90
61
Break points won·Slight edge
20
31
Deciding sets·Dominant
87
12
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
41
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Choinski J.80%
Kuzmanov D.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Choinski J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Choinski J.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Kuzmanov D.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+210 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1412
7.3Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1448
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.76 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.86 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Choinski J.Kuzmanov D.
Freshness·Clear edge
82
100

Choinski J.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 39 games (7d) · Kuzmanov D.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw