Andrea Guerrieri vs Oriol Roca BatallaTrieste Round of 32

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#189ATP
1545ELO
1510Clay ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#351ATP
1456ELO
1432Clay ELO
33 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWL
Guerrieri A.
6-4 6-4
Roca Batalla O.
Guerrieri A.
662
Roca Batalla O.
440

Andrea Guerrieri defeated Oriol Roca Batalla 6-4, 6-4 in the Round of 32 of the Trieste tournament on clay. Guerrieri converted 38% of his break points and secured three service breaks, while Roca Batalla converted all his break points but managed only one service break. The match saw Guerrieri hit one ace and two double faults, compared to Roca Batalla's four aces and two double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrea Guerrieri edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
73%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
46%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
68%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
4
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
71
Break points won·Dominant
40
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
84
7
Tiebreaks·
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Guerrieri A.65%
Roca Batalla O.35%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Guerrieri A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+70 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1440
6.0Overall Elo 1545
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1465
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
61
71

Guerrieri A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Roca Batalla O.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw