Mona Barthel vs Lola RadivojevicBastad Round of 32

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#208WTA
1551ELO
1500Clay ELO
36 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
#154WTA
1555ELO
1544Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLLLW
Barthel M.
4-6 2-6
Radivojevic L.
Barthel M.
420
Radivojevic L.
662

Lola Radivojevic defeated Mona Barthel 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at Bastad. Radivojevic converted 43% of her break points and won three service breaks to advance. She hit two aces and four double faults in the match.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-30W50 Meerbusch 1QFclayLola Radivojevic7-6(7) 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
55%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
57%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
40
Break points saved·Dominant
11
83
Break points won·Dominant
31
80
Deciding sets·Slight edge
18
24
Tiebreaks·Dominant
11
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Barthel M.61%
Radivojevic L.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Barthel M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1512
Surface ELO
5.4+35 Clay Elo edge
5.2Overall Elo 1560
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1548
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.54 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
95

Barthel M.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 28 km/hHumidity 91%

Draw