Felix Auger Aliassime vs Novak DjokovicWimbledon Quarter-final

Wimbledon · ATP · Quarter-final
#4ATP
1958ELO
1789Grass ELO
$2.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWL
2 — 3
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
grass
Centre Court · 3rd on
#5ATP
2059ELO
1925Grass ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
Auger Aliassime F.
6-7 6-3 3-6 7-6 6-7
Djokovic N.
Auger Aliassime F.
663762
Djokovic N.
736673

Novak Djokovic defeated Felix Auger Aliassime in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon. The match lasted five sets, with Djokovic taking the win 7-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-7, 7-6. The victory advanced Djokovic in the tournament.

Around the match

  • With a racket and a lot of heart.

  • These are the kind of moments that I still play tennis for. Honestly one of the best matches I was part of on this court in my career.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Novak Djokovic closed it out in five sets, 7–6 3–6 6–3 6–7 7–6.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-09-23Laver CupRRhardFelix Auger Aliassime6-3 7-6
2022-05-09Rome MastersQFclayNovak Djokovic7-5 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
79%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
70%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
70%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.3
9.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
75
100
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
31
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
98
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Auger Aliassime F.30%
Djokovic N.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Djokovic N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Grass Elo 1789
Surface ELO
6.7+136 Grass Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1958
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 2059
5.0First meeting on grass
H2H
5.0First meeting on grass
7.77 of last 10 on grass
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on grass
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
7.4Won 90% in United Kingdom (125)
Context
6.0Reached the R64 here last year
Defending pts
8.5Reached the semis here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
86

Auger Aliassime F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d) · Djokovic N.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw