Rudolf Molleker vs Facundo Diaz AcostaBraunschweig Round of 32

Braunschweig · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#481ATP
1387ELO
1382Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 ·
clay
CLAMEX COURT · 3rd on
#87ATP
1681ELO
1668Clay ELO
$294kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLLW
Molleker R.
3-6 6-3 4-6
Diaz Acosta F.
Molleker R.
3641
Diaz Acosta F.
6362

Facundo Diaz Acosta defeated Rudolf Molleker in the Round of 32 of the Braunschweig clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-3, 3-6, 6-4 in favor of Diaz Acosta. Diaz Acosta converted 50% of his break points and secured 4 service breaks, while Molleker converted 75% of his break points and secured 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
43%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
3.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
10
5
Break points saved·Even
69
72
Break points won·Even
12
16
Deciding sets·Even
5
4
Tiebreaks·Even
24
24

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Molleker R.13%
Diaz Acosta F.87%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Diaz Acosta F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.7Clay Elo 1382
Surface ELO
8.3+265 Clay Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1387
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1654
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
9.19 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
74
100

Molleker R.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 64 games (7d) · Diaz Acosta F.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
22°CRain
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw