Franco Roncadelli vs Michele RibecaiTrieste Round of 32

Trieste · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#237ATP
1495ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#260ATP
1373ELO
1359Clay ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
Roncadelli F.
3-6 3-6
Ribecai M.
Roncadelli F.
330
Ribecai M.
662

Michele Ribecai defeated Franco Roncadelli 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Trieste clay court tournament. Ribecai served one ace and did not commit a double fault, while Roncadelli had no aces and one double fault. Ribecai won 69% of his first serves and converted 42% of break points, compared to Roncadelli's 48% first-serve win percentage and 100% break point conversion rate; Ribecai secured five service breaks to Roncadelli's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
54%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Roncadelli F.63%
Ribecai M.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Roncadelli F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+67 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1410
5.9Overall Elo 1493
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1422
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Roncadelli F.: 21 days rest · Ribecai M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw