Amandine Monnot vs Maria Sara Popa — Contrexeville Qualifying Final
Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
Monnot A.7-5 7-6
Sara Popa M.
Monnot A.
772
Sara Popa M.
560
Amandine Monnot won the Contrexeville final, defeating Maria Sara Popa 7-5, 7-6. Monnot and Popa were even in aces (2) and double faults (9-10). Monnot converted 56% of her break points and won 5 service breaks to Popa's 4.
Key context
- Match story: Amandine Monnot edged Maria Sara Popa in two tight sets (7–5 7–6).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
43%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
5.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCMonnot A.87%
Sara Popa M.13%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Monnot A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.6+46 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.4Clay Elo 1395
6.5Overall Elo 1529
ELO gap3.5Overall Elo 1412
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form6.86 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 46%