Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarova — Contrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Julia Grabher
AUT7
Julia Grabher
#118WTA
1613ELO
1593Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
Rebeka Masarova
ESP
Rebeka Masarova
#169WTA
1773ELO
1714Clay ELO
27 yrs · 186 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWWL
Grabher J.
6-7 6-4 5-7
Masarova R.
Grabher J.
6651
Masarova R.
7472

Rebeka Masarova defeated Julia Grabher in the Round of 32 at Contrexeville, advancing with a 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 victory on clay. Masarova hit 11 aces to Grabher's 1 and converted 17% of her break points, while both players earned one service break. Masarova won 81% of her first-serve points, compared to Grabher's 70%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Grabher J.Masarova R.
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.0
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Grabher J.Masarova R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
16
24
Break points saved·Dominant
4
34
Break points won·Dominant
60
19
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
73
Tiebreaks·
—
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Grabher J.14%
Masarova R.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Masarova R. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Grabher J.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Masarova R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.2Clay Elo 1592
Surface ELO
6.8+145 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1612
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1789
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
4.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.0Grass → Clay
Surface transition
3.0Grass → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Grabher J.Masarova R.
Freshness·
93
—

Grabher J.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw