Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala — Wimbledon Round of 16
ITA13
PHI29
Paolini J.
Jasmine Paolini defeated Alexandra Eala in the Round of 16 at Wimbledon, advancing with a 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 victory. Paolini and Eala were even in aces, 2-2, but Paolini had fewer double faults, 1-3. Paolini converted 44% of break points, while Eala converted 30%, and Paolini won 4 service breaks to Eala's 3.
Around the match
“I'm really emotional. Maybe for someone like Iga, who's won so many Slams, or maybe for someone like Serena or Venus, this achievement may seem small. But for someone who grew up in the Philippines -- I went to train with my brother and my grandfather every day after school, with my ruffled socks and light-up shoes and chubby cheeks -- to her this is everything. But because I'm emotional does not mean I'm satisfied. So next round, let's go!”
Eala A.WTA Tennis ↗“I want to thank Roger, because he's my idol. It was tough. During the match I was like, 'please stay focused, don't think about the fact that he's here.'”
Paolini J.tennismajors.com ↗“Stepping on this court is something special, and I was looking forward to it. Here there is an amazing atmosphere. It's something else to play tennis here, you know, and I feel so lucky to have this opportunity. I feel lucky to get the win as well, and I want to thank you as well, Roger, because you're my idol.”
Paolini J.WTA Tennis ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Jasmine Paolini closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–3.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Alexandra Eala | 6-1 7-6 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Eala A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadEala A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About