Francesca Curmi vs Oceane DodinContrexeville Round of 32

Contrexeville · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#236WTA
1580ELO
1567Clay ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#327WTA
1539ELO
1473Clay ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Curmi F.
6-4 6-3
Dodin O.
Curmi F.
662
Dodin O.
430

Francesca Curmi defeated Oceane Dodin 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at Contrexeville. Curmi hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, while Dodin hit 1 ace and 11 double faults. Curmi converted 50% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Dodin's 1.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-11-18W80 MadridR16clayFrancesca Curmi6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
43%
Service points won·Even
53%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
47%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.2
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.4
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Curmi F.56%
Dodin O.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+105 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1462
5.6Overall Elo 1579
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1531
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.93 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw