Maks Kasnikowski vs Federico CinaIasi Round of 32

Iasi · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#234ATP
1400ELO
1418Clay ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 5 · 3rd on
#174ATP
1630ELO
1590Clay ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
Kasnikowski M.
6-4 3-6 7-5
Cina F.
Kasnikowski M.
6372
Cina F.
4651

Maks Kasnikowski defeated Federico Cina in the Round of 32 of the Iasi tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 3-6, 7-5. Kasnikowski hit 5 aces and committed 0 double faults, while Cina hit 8 aces and 6 double faults. Kasnikowski won 81% of his first-serve points and converted 30% of his break points, compared to Cina's 66% and 100%, respectively; Kasnikowski secured 3 service breaks to Cina's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
56%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
65%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
14
42
Break points saved·Dominant
56
87
Break points won·Clear edge
16
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
19
52
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
38
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Kasnikowski M.28%
Cina F.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cina F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1416
Surface ELO
6.5+123 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1399
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1583
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.27 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
91

Kasnikowski M.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cina F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw