Miriam Bianca Bulgaru vs Valeriya StrakhovaBastad Round of 32

Bastad · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#252WTA
1366ELO
1330Clay ELO
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 July 2026 ·
clay
#566WTA
1179ELO
1199Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLW
Bianca Bulgaru M.
6-2 6-2
Strakhova V.
Bianca Bulgaru M.
662
Strakhova V.
220

Miriam Bianca Bulgaru defeated Valeriya Strakhova 6-2, 6-2 in the Round of 32 at Bastad. Bulgaru hit one ace and three double faults, winning 76 percent of her first serves and converting 80 percent of her break points. She broke Strakhova's serve four times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
54%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
45%
Service points won·Even
50%
53%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
43%
53%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
20
2
Break points saved·Clear edge
25
1
Break points won·Dominant
60
86
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
19
Tiebreaks·
29

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Bianca Bulgaru M.86%
Strakhova V.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bianca Bulgaru M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 66% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1198
7.7Overall Elo 1391
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1179
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
1.41 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw